Lost Confidence

“Bullish Signs Continue. Here’s a summary of the highlights:Market Overview: Both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ reached 52-week highs. The S&P 500 rose approximately 3% and NASDAQ around 4% during the week. Earnings Reports: Strong performance in earnings reports contributed to market growth. Major reports came from companies like Carnival and Nike. Nvidia reported significant […]

Market Speculation and Valuation 🚀The S&P 500 trading at 23 times next year’s earnings is extremely overextended, signaling potential market overvaluation and speculative behavior. 💡Earnings mean reversion poses a significant risk, as historically high corporate margins could halve earnings if they revert to mean levels. 🎢The MNAV premium in Bitcoin, currently at 2.25x, has historically reached 300% before collapsing, indicating extreme retail speculation and market […]